Ke kaulike ʻole o ka ua, ka hoʻohuli ʻana o ka mahana o ke kau! Pehea ka hopena o El Nino i ke aniau o Brazil?

Ma ʻApelila 25, ma kahi hōʻike i hoʻokuʻu ʻia e ka Brazilian National Meteorological Institute (Inmet), ua hōʻike ʻia kahi loiloi piha o nā ʻano ʻē o ke aniau a me nā kūlana ʻino loa i hoʻokumu ʻia e El Nino ma Brazil i ka makahiki 2023 a me nā mahina mua ʻekolu o 2024.
Ua ʻōlelo ʻia ma ka hōʻike ua pāpālua ka ua o ka hanana ʻo El Nino ma ka hema o Brazil, akā ma nā wahi ʻē aʻe, ua emi loa ka ua ma lalo o ka awelika. Manaʻo nā loea ʻo ke kumu, ma waena o ʻOkakopa i ka makahiki i hala a me Malaki i kēia makahiki, ua hoʻoulu ka hanana ʻo El Nino i kekahi mau pōʻai o nā nalu wela e komo i nā ʻāpana ʻākau, waena a me ke komohana o Brazil, ka mea i kaupalena i ka holomua o nā ea anuanu (nā makani ʻino a me nā alo anu) mai ka wēlau hema o ʻAmelika Hema a i ka ʻākau. I nā makahiki i hala, e hele ana kēlā ʻano ea anuanu i ka ʻākau a hiki i ke kahawai ʻo Amazon a hui me ka ea wela e hana i ka ua nui, akā mai ʻOkakopa 2023, ua holomua ka wahi e hui ai ke anuanu a me ka ea wela i ka ʻāpana hema o Brazil he 3,000 kilomita ka mamao mai ke kahawai ʻo Amazon, a ua hoʻokumu ʻia kekahi mau pōʻai o ka ua nui ma kahi kūloko.
Ua kuhikuhi pū ka hōʻike ʻo kekahi hopena koʻikoʻi o El Nino ma Brazil ʻo ia ka piʻi ʻana o ka mahana a me ka neʻe ʻana o nā wahi wela kiʻekiʻe. Mai ʻOkakopa i ka makahiki i hala a hiki i Malaki i kēia makahiki, ua haki nā moʻolelo mahana kiʻekiʻe loa ma ka mōʻaukala o ka manawa like ma Brazil. Ma kekahi mau wahi, ʻo ka mahana kiʻekiʻe loa he 3 a 4 degere Celsius ma luna o ka piko moʻolelo. I kēia manawa, ua hana ʻia nā mahana kiʻekiʻe loa i Dekemaba, ka pūnāwai o ka Hemisphere hema, ma mua o Ianuali a me Pepeluali, nā mahina kauwela.
Eia kekahi, ua ʻōlelo nā loea ua emi ka ikaika o El Nino mai Dekemaba i ka makahiki i hala. Hōʻike pū kēia i ke kumu i ʻoi aku ka wela o ka pūnāwai ma mua o ke kauwela. Hōʻike ka ʻikepili ua ʻoi aku ka mahana o ka awelika o Dekemaba 2023, i ka wā puna o ʻAmelika Hema, ma mua o ka awelika o ka mahana i Ianuali a me Pepeluali 2024, i ke kauwela o ʻAmelika Hema.
Wahi a nā loea aniau Palakila, e emi mālie ana ka ikaika o El Nino mai ka hopena o ka hāʻule a i ka hoʻomaka o ka hoʻoilo i kēia makahiki, ʻo ia hoʻi, ma waena o Mei a me Iulai 2024. Akā ma hope koke iho o kēlā, e lilo ka hiki ʻana mai o La Nina i mea nui loa. Manaʻo ʻia e hoʻomaka nā kūlana La Nina i ka hapa lua o ka makahiki, me ka mahana o ka ʻilikai ma nā wai wela ma ka Pākīpika waena a me ka hikina e hāʻule nui ana ma lalo o ka awelika.