Ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke Kaua Rusia-Ukraine, ua hoʻopilikia ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai meaʻai o ka honua i ka palekana meaʻai o ka honua, ka mea i hoʻomaopopo piha ai i ka honua ʻo ke ʻano o ka palekana meaʻai he pilikia ia o ka maluhia a me ka hoʻomohala ʻana o ka honua.
I ka makahiki 2023/24, i hoʻopilikia ʻia e ke kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe o nā huahana mahiʻai o ka honua, ua hōʻea hou ka huina o nā cereals a me nā soybeans i kahi kiʻekiʻe moʻolelo, e hoʻolilo ana i nā kumukūʻai o nā ʻano meaʻai like ʻole ma nā ʻāina i hoʻolālā ʻia no ka mākeke ma hope o ka papa inoa ʻana o nā cereals hou i hāʻule nui. Eia naʻe, ma muli o ka hoʻonui nui ʻana o ke kumukūʻai i lawe ʻia e ka hoʻopuka ʻana o ke kālā super e ka US Federal Reserve ma Asia, ua piʻi nui ke kumukūʻai o ka laiki ma ka mākeke honua e hōʻea i kahi kiʻekiʻe moʻolelo i mea e kāohi ai i ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka home a kāohi i ka hoʻokuʻu ʻana aku i ka laiki ma India.
Ua hoʻopilikia nā kaohi mākeke ma Kina, India, a me Rusia i ka ulu ʻana o kā lākou hana meaʻai i ka makahiki 2024, akā ma ke ʻano holoʻokoʻa, aia ka hana meaʻai o ka honua i ka makahiki 2024 ma kahi pae kiʻekiʻe.
He mea kūpono ke nānā nui ʻia, ke hoʻomau nei ke kumukūʻai gula honua i kahi kiʻekiʻe moʻolelo, ʻo ka wikiwiki o ka emi ʻana o nā kālā o ka honua, ke piʻi nei ke kaomi i luna o nā kumukūʻai meaʻai honua, i ka manawa e emi ai ka hana makahiki a me ka hakahaka koi, hiki i nā kumukūʻai meaʻai nui ke piʻi hou i kahi kiʻekiʻe moʻolelo, no laila pono e uku nui ʻia ka hana meaʻai i kēia manawa, e pale aku i nā haʻalulu.
Ka mahi ʻana i ka cereal honua
I ka makahiki 2023/24, ʻo ka nui o ka ʻāina palaoa o ka honua he 75.6 miliona heketa, he piʻi ʻana o 0.38% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala. Ua hōʻea ka huina o ka hana i 3.234 biliona tone, a ʻo ka hua ma kēlā me kēia heketa he 4,277 kg/heta, piʻi 2.86% a me 3.26% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala. (ʻO ka huina o ka hana laiki he 2.989 biliona tone, piʻi 3.63% mai ka makahiki i hala.)
I ka makahiki 2023/24, maikaʻi nā kūlana meteorological mahiʻai ma ʻĀsia, ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, a ʻo ke kiʻekiʻe o nā kumukūʻai meaʻai e kākoʻo ana i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka hoihoi kanu o nā mahiʻai, e lawe mai ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka huahana a me ka nui o nā mea kanu meaʻai o ka honua.
I waena o lākou, ʻo ka ʻāina i lūlū ʻia o ka palaoa, kulina a me ka laiki i ka makahiki 2023/24 he 601.5 miliona heketa, i emi iho he 0.56% mai ka makahiki i hala; ʻO ka huina o ka hana i hōʻea i 2.79 biliona tons, he piʻi ʻana o 1.71%; ʻO ka hua ma kēlā me kēia ʻāpana he 4638 kg/ha, he piʻi ʻana o 2.28% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.
Ua hoʻōla ʻia ka hana ʻana ma ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika Hema ma hope o ka maloʻo i ka makahiki 2022; ʻO ka emi ʻana o ka hana laiki ma ʻAsia Hema a me Hikina Hema ua loaʻa kahi hopena maikaʻi ʻole i nā ʻāina e ulu ana.
Nā kumukūʻai meaʻai honua
I Pepeluali 2024, ʻo ke kumukūʻai kumukūʻai meaʻai honua * he US $353 / tona, i lalo he 2.70% i kēlā me kēia mahina a me 13.55% i kēlā me kēia makahiki; I Ianuali-Pepeluali 2024, ʻo ke kumukūʻai meaʻai honua awelika he $357 / tona, i lalo he 12.39% i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
Mai ka makahiki hou o ka mahiʻai (e hoʻomaka ana i Mei), ua emi nā kumukūʻai meaʻai honua holoʻokoʻa, a ʻo ke kumukūʻai awelika o ka palaoa, kulina, a me ka laiki i Pepeluali he 353 kālā US/tona, i emi iho he 2.19% i kēlā me kēia mahina, a he 12.0% i kēlā me kēia makahiki; ʻO ke kumukūʻai awelika i Ianuali-Pepeluali 2024 he $357/tona, i emi iho he 12.15% i kēlā me kēia makahiki; ʻO ke kumukūʻai awelika no ka makahiki hou o ka mahiʻai mai Mei a Pepeluali he $365/tona, i emi iho he $365/tona i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
Ua emi nui ka helu kumukūʻai o nā meaʻai palaoa a me ka helu kumukūʻai o nā meaʻai nui ʻekolu i ka makahiki mahiʻai hou, e hōʻike ana ua hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia ke kūlana lako holoʻokoʻa i ka makahiki mahiʻai hou. ʻO ke kumukūʻai o kēia manawa ua emi iho i nā pae i ʻike hope ʻia i Iulai a me ʻAukake 2020, a ʻo ka hoʻomau ʻana o ka emi ʻana e hiki ke hoʻopilikia maikaʻi ʻole i ka hana ʻai honua i ka Makahiki Hou.
Ke kaulike o ka lako a me ke koi o ka palaoa honua
I ka makahiki 2023/24, ʻo ka huina o ka laiki i hana ʻia ma hope o ka laiki he 2.989 biliona tone, he piʻi ʻana o 3.63% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala, a ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o ka hana i hoʻolilo i ke kumukūʻai i emi nui ai.
Ua manaʻo ʻia ka heluna kanaka honua holoʻokoʻa he 8.026 biliona, he piʻi ʻana o 1.04% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala, a ʻoi aku ka ulu ʻana o ka hana ʻana a me ka lako meaʻai ma mua o ka ulu ʻana o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua. ʻO ka ʻai ʻana i ka cereal honua he 2.981 biliona tons, a ʻo ka waihona hopena makahiki he 752 miliona tons, me kahi kumu palekana o 25.7%.
ʻO ka hana no kēlā me kēia kanaka he 372.4 kg, 1.15% ʻoi aku ka kiʻekiʻe ma mua o ka makahiki i hala. Ma ke ʻano o ka hoʻohana ʻana, ʻo ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka ration he 157.8 kg, ʻo ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka meaʻai he 136.8 kg, ʻo ka hoʻohana ʻana i nā mea ʻē aʻe he 76.9 kg, a ʻo ka hoʻohana holoʻokoʻa he 371.5 kg. Kilokalama. ʻO ka hāʻule ʻana o nā kumukūʻai e lawe mai i ka hoʻonui ʻana i nā mea ʻē aʻe, kahi e kāohi ai i ke kumukūʻai mai ka hoʻomau ʻana i ka hāʻule ʻana i ka wā ma hope.
Nānā i ka hana ʻana i ka cereal honua
Wahi a ka helu kumukūʻai holoʻokoʻa o ka honua i kēia manawa, ʻo ka ʻāina lūlū palaoa honua i ka makahiki 2024 he 760 miliona heketa, ʻo ka hua ma ka heketa he 4,393 kg/heketa, a ʻo ka huina o ka hana honua he 3,337 miliona tone. ʻO ka hana o ka laiki he 3.09 biliona tone, he piʻi o 3.40% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.
Wahi a ke au o ka hoʻomohala ʻana o ka ʻāina a me ka hua ma kēlā me kēia ʻāpana o nā ʻāina nui o ka honua, ma ka makahiki 2030, ʻo ka ʻāina lūlū palaoa honua ma kahi o 760 miliona heketa, ʻo ka hua ma kēlā me kēia ʻāpana he 4,748 kg/heketa, a ʻo ka huina o ka hana o ka honua he 3.664 biliona tone, ʻoi aku ka haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka wā ma mua. ʻO ka ulu lohi ʻana ma Kina, India a me ʻEulopa ua alakaʻi i ka emi ʻana o nā kuhi o ka hana palaoa honua ma kēlā me kēia ʻāpana.
Ma ka makahiki 2030, ʻo India, Brazil, ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me Kina nā mea hana meaʻai nui loa o ka honua. I ka makahiki 2035, manaʻo ʻia e hiki aku ka ʻāina lūlū palaoa honua i 789 miliona heketa, me ka hua o 5,318 kg/ha, a me ka huina o ka hana honua o 4.194 biliona tone.
Mai ke kūlana o kēia manawa, ʻaʻohe hemahema o ka ʻāina mahi ʻia ma ka honua, akā lohi iki ka ulu ʻana o ka hua ma kēlā me kēia anakahi, kahi e pono ai ka nānā nui ʻana. ʻO ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ke kaiapuni, ke kūkulu ʻana i kahi ʻōnaehana hoʻokele kūpono, a me ka hoʻolaha ʻana i ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka ʻepekema a me ka ʻenehana hou i ka mahiʻai e hoʻoholo ai i ka palekana meaʻai o ka honua e hiki mai ana.
Ka manawa hoʻouna: ʻApelila-08-2024