Ma hope o ka hoʻomaka ʻana o ke kaua ʻo Russia-Ukraine, ʻo ka piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai meaʻai honua i lawe mai i kahi hopena i ka mālama ʻana i ka meaʻai honua, kahi i ʻike pono ai ka honua i ke ʻano o ka palekana meaʻai he pilikia o ka maluhia honua a me ka ulu ʻana.
I ka makahiki 2023/24, i hoʻopilikia ʻia e nā kumukūʻai kiʻekiʻe o ka honua o nā huahana mahiʻai, ua piʻi hou ka huina o nā cereals a me nā soybeans i kahi kiʻekiʻe kiʻekiʻe, e hana ana i nā kumukūʻai o nā ʻano meaʻai like ʻole i nā ʻāina e pili ana i ka mākeke ma hope o ka hāʻule ʻana o ka papa inoa o nā hua hou.Eia nō naʻe, ma muli o ka piʻi nui loa i lawe ʻia mai e ka hoʻopuka ʻana i ke kālā nui e ka US Federal Reserve ma Asia, ua piʻi nui ke kumukūʻai o ka laiki ma ka mākeke honua a hiki i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe i mea e kāohi ai i ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka home a me ka hoʻokele ʻana i ka laiki ma India. .
Ua hoʻopilikia ka mākeke ma Kina, India, a me Rūsia i kā lākou ulu ʻana i ka meaʻai ma 2024, akā ma ka laulā, ʻo ka hana ʻai honua i 2024 aia ma kahi kiʻekiʻe.
Pono ka nānā nui ʻana, ke hoʻomau nei ke kumukūʻai gula honua i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe, ka wikiwiki o ka emi ʻana o nā kālā o ka honua, ke piʻi ʻana o nā kumukūʻai meaʻai honua, i ka manawa o ka hana makahiki a me ke koi ʻana, hiki i nā kumukūʻai meaʻai nui ke piʻi i kahi moʻolelo kiʻekiʻe. hou, no laila, i kēia manawa pono e uku nui noonoo i ka meaʻai hana, e pale aku haʻalulu.
Ka mahi ʻai ʻai honua
Ma 2023/24, ʻo ka honua cereal area he 75.6 miliona heka, he piʻi o 0.38% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.Ua hiki aku ka huina hoonui i 3.234 biliona tona, a he 4,277 kg/ha ka hua no ka eka, he 2.86% a me 3.26% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.(ʻO ka huina o ka laiki he 2.989 billion tons, he 3.63% mai ka makahiki i hala.)
Ma 2023/24, ʻoi aku ka maikaʻi o nā kūlana meteorological mahiʻai ma ʻAsia, ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa, a ʻo nā kumukūʻai meaʻai kiʻekiʻe e kākoʻo i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana o ka ulu ʻana o nā mahiʻai, e lawe mai ana i ka hoʻonui ʻana i ka hua a me nā wahi o nā meaʻai honua.
I waena o lākou, ʻo ka wahi lulu ʻia o ka palaoa, kānana a me ka laiki i 2023/24 he 601,5 miliona mau ʻeka, ma lalo o 0,56% mai ka makahiki i hala;Ua hiki aku ka huina hoonui i ka 2.79 billion tons, he hoonui o 1.71%;ʻO 4638 kg/ha ka hua o kēlā me kēia ʻāpana, he piʻi o 2.28% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.
Ua ho'ōla hou ʻia ka hana ʻana ma ʻEulopa a me ʻAmelika Hema ma hope o ka maloʻo ma 2022;ʻO ka emi ʻana o ka hana laiki ma ka Hema a me ka Hikina Hema ʻo Asia he hopena maikaʻi ʻole i nā ʻāina e ulu ana.
Nā kumukūʻai meaʻai honua
I Pepeluali 2024, ʻo ka helu kumukūʻai kumu kūʻai meaʻai honua * he US $353 / ton, ma lalo o 2.70% mahina-ma-mahina a me 13.55% makahiki-ma-makahiki;I Ianuali-Pepeluali 2024, ʻo ke kumukūʻai meaʻai composite honua he $357 / ton, ma lalo o 12.39% makahiki-ma-makahiki.
Mai ka makahiki hua hou (e hoʻomaka ana i Mei), ua emi nā kumukūʻai meaʻai piha honua, a ʻo ka awelika kumu kūʻai hui mai Mei a Pepeluali he 370 US dollars/ton, iho 11.97% makahiki-ma-makahiki.Ma waena o lākou, ʻo ka awelika kumu kūʻai hui o ka palaoa, kānana a me ka raiki i Pepeluali he 353 US dollars/ton, i lalo he 2.19% mahina-ma-mahina a me 12.0% makahiki-ma-makahiki;ʻO ka awelika waiwai ma Ianuali-Pepeluali 2024 he $357 / ton, ma lalo o 12.15% makahiki-ma-makahiki;ʻO ka awelika no ka makahiki hua hou mai Mei a Pepeluali he $365 / ton, iho $365 / ton i kēlā me kēia makahiki.
ʻO ka helu kumukūʻai palaoa holoʻokoʻa a me ka helu kumukūʻai o nā cereals nui ʻekolu i hōʻemi nui i ka makahiki hua hou, e hōʻike ana ua hoʻomaikaʻi ʻia ke kūlana lako holoʻokoʻa i ka makahiki hua hou.Ke emi nei nā kumukūʻai o kēia manawa i nā pae i ʻike ʻia ma Iulai a me ʻAukake 2020, a ʻo ka hoʻomau i lalo e hiki ke hoʻopilikia i ka hana ʻai honua i ka Makahiki Hou.
Hāʻawi ʻia ka palaoa honua a me ke kaulike koi
I ka makahiki 2023/24, ʻo ka nui o ka huaʻai o ka laiki ma hope o ka laiki he 2.989 biliona tons, he piʻi o 3.63% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala, a ʻo ka hoʻonui ʻana o ka hoʻopuka i hāʻule nui ke kumukūʻai.
ʻO ka nui o ka heluna kanaka o ka honua i manaʻo ʻia he 8.026 biliona, he piʻi o 1.04% ma mua o ka makahiki i hala, a ʻo ka ulu ʻana o ka meaʻai a me ka hoʻolako ʻana ma mua o ka ulu ʻana o ka honua.ʻO ka hoʻohana ʻana i ka cereal honua he 2.981 biliona tons, a he 752 miliona tons ka hopena o ka makahiki, me kahi kumu palekana o 25.7%.
ʻO 372.4 kg ka nui o kēlā me kēia kanaka, 1.15% kiʻekiʻe ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.Ma ke ʻano o ka hoʻohana ʻana, ʻo 157.8 kg ka hoʻohana ʻana, ʻo ka ʻai ʻana he 136.8 kg, ʻo ka hoʻohana ʻana he 76.9 kg, a ʻo ka hoʻohana ʻana he 371.5 kg.Kilograms.ʻO ka hāʻuleʻana o nā kumukūʻai e hoʻonui i ka hoʻohanaʻana i nā mea'ē aʻe, kahi e kāohi ai i ke kumukūʻai e hoʻomau i ka hāʻule i ka wā ma hope.
ʻO Outlook ka hana cereal honua
Wahi a ke kumukūʻai o ka honua holoʻokoʻa i kēia manawa, ʻo ka wahi lulu palaoa honua ma 2024 he 760 miliona mau ʻeka, ʻo ka hua i kēlā me kēia hectare he 4,393 kg / ha, a ʻo ka huina o ka honua he 3,337 miliona tons.He 3.09 biliona tons ka puka o ka laiki, he 3.40% ka hoʻonui ma mua o ka makahiki i hala.
E like me ka ulu ʻana o ka ʻāina a me ka hoʻoulu ʻana i kēlā me kēia ʻāpana o nā ʻāina nui o ka honua, e 2030, ʻo ka honua lulu hua palaoa e pili ana i 760 miliona mau ʻeka, ʻo ka hua ma kēlā me kēia ʻāpana he 4,748 kg / ʻeka, a me ka nui o ka honua. ʻO ka huahana he 3.664 biliona tons, haʻahaʻa ma mua o ka manawa ma mua.ʻO ka ulu mālie ma Kina, India a me ʻEulopa ua alakaʻi i ka hoʻohaʻahaʻa haʻahaʻa o ka hoʻoulu ʻana o ka palaoa ma ka ʻāina.
I ka makahiki 2030, ʻo India, Palakila, ʻAmelika Hui Pū ʻIa a me Kina ka mea ʻai nui loa o ka honua.I ka makahiki 2035, ua manaʻo ʻia e hiki i ka 789 miliona mau ʻeka ka nui o ka lūlū palaoa honua, me ka hua o 5,318 kg / ha, a me ka nui o ka hana honua o 4.194 biliona tons.
Mai ke kūlana o kēia manawa, ʻaʻohe hemahema o ka ʻāina mahi ʻia ma ka honua, akā lohi ka ulu ʻana o kēlā me kēia ʻāpana hua, kahi e pono ai ka nānā nui.ʻO ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka hoʻomaikaʻi ʻana i ka kaiaola, ke kūkulu ʻana i kahi ʻōnaehana hoʻokele kūpono, a me ka hoʻoikaika ʻana i ka noi ʻana o ka ʻepekema a me ka ʻenehana hou i ka mahiʻai e hoʻoholo ai i ka palekana meaʻai honua e hiki mai ana.
Ka manawa kau: Apr-08-2024